نزوح بلا عودة، انه الشرق الأوسط الجديد

يشهد لبنان موجة نزوح جديدة للشيعة باتجاه سوريا والعراق هربًا من الأزمة الاقتصادية. رغم اعتقادهم أن النزوح مؤقت، اصطدمت الأسر بارتفاع الإيجارات في دمشق وصعوبة التأقلم. بعضهم توجه إلى دير الزور تحت حماية حزب الله، بينما خصصت ميليشيات عراقية في ديالى شققًا ومساعدات للأسر النازحة.

يشير التقرير إلى أن هذه التحركات قد تعيد تشكيل النفوذ في المنطقة، مع احتمال قيام نظام شيعي يمتد من العراق إلى سوريا، مما يعزز التحولات الديموغرافية والسياسية في الشرق الأوسط.

CSIORS Senior Advisor Issam Khoury Discusses Impact of Lebanon’s War on Syria on CNBC

Issam Khoury, Senior Advisor at the Czech-Slovak Institute of Oriental Studies, discussed Lebanon’s ongoing conflict and its repercussions on Syria during a CNBC interview. Khoury highlighted the influx of refugees from Hezbollah-controlled areas into Syria, raising concerns about regional stability. He also examined Iran’s role in deepening Syrian-Lebanese ties and emphasized the potential return of pre-2011 diplomatic dynamics. Khoury urged Syrian leaders to adopt a cautious but proactive approach in navigating the crisis.

هل سيقتل خامنئي؟

This documentary-style analysis delves into the political and economic transformations occurring in the Middle East, with a focus on the roles of Hezbollah, Hamas, and the governments of Iran and Israel. Explore how political Islam influences these changes and the economic initiatives that challenge Iran’s dominance in the region.

Assad &, Erdogan, and the Stalled Reconciliation

This excerpts from a discussion featuring writer and journalist Issam Khoury regarding the resumption of Syrian-Turkish relations through Iraqi mediation. He expressed concerns about Russian apprehensions regarding the Emirati-Iraqi-Turkish cooperation project. Khoury also highlighted the Democratic Party’s desire to stabilize conflicts ahead of the American elections and how this may impact the Turkish-Syrian reconciliation. Additionally, he addressed the influence of the Alawite National Council on President Assad’s decisions regarding reconciliation with the government of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan.

Syrian People’s Council: Between Change and Noise

Dive into the upcoming elections for the Syrian People’s Council, scheduled for July 15, 2024. This video provides an in-depth analysis of the sectarian distribution of parliamentary seats, the influence of the Syrian security apparatus, and the potential changes in the political landscape. Learn about the role of minority groups and the impact of the Syrian civil war on parliamentary representation.

Likelihood of Ground Incursions

The article discusses rising tensions in the Middle East, particularly regarding potential Israeli ground operations against Hezbollah, the Syrian regime, and Iranian forces. It mentions recent events like Israel detonating a minefield, Hezbollah using drones, and Iraqi militias coordinating attacks with Hezbollah against Israel. The article also touches on possible U.S. support for Israel and its implications for regional stability, highlighting potential consequences for Syrian and Lebanese governance and Iranian influence. It suggests that an Israeli invasion of Syria could have significant regional ramifications, challenging Iran’s goals in the region.

The horizon of American strikes on Shiite militias

Researcher Issam Khoury outlines Iran’s historical involvement in regional conflicts and recent escalations, such as Hamas attacks on Israeli settlements. In response, the Biden administration conducted airstrikes targeting Iranian-affiliated groups, signaling a readiness to confront indirect Iranian influence.

The article suggests strategies for Washington, including expanding airstrikes on the Syrian-Iraqi border and supporting Arab groups to counter Iranian proxies. It references the “Parallel Zones Project” as a potential framework for restoring stability in the region.

Is Iranian Revenge Real or Just Noise?

The United States understood Iran’s message and prepared 1500 soldiers for training in Texas, in preparation for sending them to Iraq and Syria to enhance the American presence in a region filled with events and disturbances. On January 17, 2024, the Houthi group (SDGT) was included in the terrorism lists, after the US Treasury had removed this classification from them on February 12, 2021. This indicates that the Biden administration intersects with the new Republican hawks represented by figures like Joel D. Rayburn when it comes to US national security. Undoubtedly, this action will have an impact on many decisions of the White House and the Democratic Party administration before the start of the US elections in November 2024.

Ein al-Hilweh and the reality of the fragmented Palestinians

By, Issam Khoury CSIORS, Sep 2023 The Palestinian divisions between Fatah and Hamas within the Palestinian territories reflect the reality experienced by Palestinians in all Palestinian diaspora countries. In late June/July 2023, armed clashes erupted in the Ein al-Hilweh camp in Lebanon, resulting in the death of 13 Palestinians and the injury of dozens. This…