Amid escalating military confrontation in the Middle East, fundamental questions arise about the outcomes of the conflict between Washington and Tehran. In an analytical reading of the scene, journalist and political analyst Issam Khoury offered a different perspective, suggesting that the real driver of this conflict goes beyond a purely military dimension and dives into the depths of “pragmatic deals” and global market calculations.

Trump and the logic of “imposing peace by force”

Khoury believes that President Donald Trump’s political doctrine is based on the principle of “imposing peace by force.” This approach does not target Iran alone but represents a comprehensive strategy to reshape international balances. According to Khoury, Trump — coming from a purely economic background — does not view wars as burdens but as opportunities to manage markets and benefit from their volatility; with a single tweet he can lower or raise stock values, achieving huge gains for his supporters and economic base.

Oil and markets: who benefits from the continuation of the war?

Contrary to the prevailing belief that Washington is harmed by the continuation of the conflict, Khoury asserts that the United States is in no hurry to end the war. American oil companies are today experiencing an economic “euphoria” due to the large price gap between global crude oil and light American oil. While European, Chinese, and Indian markets suffer heavy losses due to rising energy costs, Washington reaps the fruits of this gap, which strengthens its global economic influence.

Information penetration and Iranian decision paralysis

On the field, Khoury describes American and Israeli information capabilities inside Iran as “terrifying.” The use of artificial intelligence technology to track and hunt leaders has made Iranian movements completely exposed.

According to Khoury, this direct military pressure has led to a state of “executive paralysis” inside Tehran; coordination was lost between the political wing (the Ministry of Foreign Affairs) and the military wing (the Revolutionary Guard). Because of the fear of wireless tracking, Iranian leaders have come to rely on ground transport for information, which slowed decision-making and made the military institution the actual controller of the scene at the expense of diplomacy.

Negotiations under pressure: the price of a “weighty gift”
Regarding negotiation prospects, Khoury believes that Tehran has lost the “flexibility of maneuver” it once had. The Iranian sky has become open to hostile aviation after most air defense platforms were destroyed, putting the regime in a tight corner.

Khoury affirms that Trump will not grant a “free peace”; negotiating with him requires “weighty gifts” from Iranian resources (such as oil or major geopolitical concessions). With the American president possessing broad military powers that give him room to act without returning to Congress, Tehran remains faced with two options: either accept harsh terms under the pressure of a “knockout blow,” or continue in a military attrition that could affect the very structure of the regime.

You can read this report in Arabic , بامكانكم قراءة المقال باللغة العربية في محطة صوت سوريا